SMH|XLE|XLU
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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About
Daily strategy that checks if semiconductors are trending up. In uptrends, it uses an RSI rule to buy a leveraged fund in the strongest of semis, energy, or utilities (or short semis if overheated). In weak trends, it holds a defensive 4‑ETF mix.
Each day: 1) Trend check. If semiconductors (SMH) are in an uptrend (short‑term average above long‑term), we “risk‑on.” Otherwise, split evenly into four defensive ETFs: XLP, XLU, XLE, SPLV.
Risk‑on: use RSI (a 0–100 recent‑speed score; <30 washed‑out, >75 red‑hot). If <30 buy SOXL; if >75 buy SOXS. Otherwise pick the strongest sector by RSI among semis, energy, utilities: SOXL, ERX, or UTSL.
Dynamic risk-on/risk-off strategy aiming for upside in semiconductor-led rallies via levered ETFs, with a defensive 4-ETF mix in downturns. Out-of-sample: ~19.5% annualized vs ~20.6% S&P, with potential higher drawdowns but added diversification beyond market beta.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | 1.47 | 0.19 | 0.44 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 262.04% | 15.17% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 0.85 | |
| 44,117.27% | 95.21% | 24.13% | 57.49% | 1.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,421,726.90Regulatory Fees
$6,501.61
Total Slippage
$54,200.88
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 30, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged sector rotation, rsi + trend filter, relative strength, daily rebalance, semis/energy/utilities, defensive basket
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPLV
Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF
Stocks
UTSL
Direxion Daily Utilities Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks