SMH/WTMF and SMH/FTLS compares WM 74
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
Daily momentum-based rotation: compare SMH to peers using RSI; if SMH leads on short windows, tilt into 3x tech ETFs (TQQQ and TECL) equally; if not, but SMH leads on a longer window vs FTLS, do the same; otherwise park in BIL cash. High risk, frequent rebalancing.
What you’re doing is:
- Measure momentum: compute RSI for SMH and for two peers (WTMF and FTLS) using short lookbacks (10 days for SMH vs WTMF; 20 days for SMH vs FTLS).
- Compare: if SMH’s RSI is higher than WTMF’s (first test), you buy two levered tech ETFs (TQQQ and TECL) in equal amounts.
- If the first test fails, run the second test: if SMH’s RSI is higher than FTLS’s RSI, you again buy the same two levered tech ETFs in equal amounts.
- If neither test is true, you buy nothing risky and instead hold BIL, a short-term cash-like ETF.
- Rebalance daily: adjust positions every day to follow the rule set.
- What you own when you’re “long” the levered techs: two assets, TQQQ and TECL, each with equal weight (wt-cash-equal implies even split). When you’re in cash, you hold BIL only.
- Why use levered tech ETFs: they amplify tech-market moves so you can capture bigger gains when momentum favors tech, but they also amplify losses if momentum turns down. This is a short-horizon, high-volatility approach.
Out-of-sample edge: ~58.6% annualized return vs ~18.1% SPY; Sharpe ~1.04 vs ~0.96; Calmar ~1.85; alpha ~0.17%; max drawdown ~31.7% vs ~18.8%. Higher upside from momentum-driven tech tilt; higher risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 2.57 | 0.65 | 0.8 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320.29% | 13.4% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.8 | |
| 29,796.49% | 64.76% | -0.98% | -7.29% | 1.17 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,989,649.05Regulatory Fees
$8,187.33
Total Slippage
$52,687.86
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 1, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, relative-strength, rsi, leveraged-tech etfs, daily rebalance, sector rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total