SMH/WTMF and SMH/FTLS compares v2 WM 74
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
If semiconductors are beating diversifiers, it “floors the gas” into 3x tech (TQQQ/TECL). If not, it holds the 3 best short‑term performers from a defensive mix (bonds, volatility, dollar, managed futures, hedged equity). Equal‑weight, rebalanced daily.
Each day it checks if semiconductor stocks (SMH) show stronger recent gains (RSI = a 0–100 score of recent ups vs downs) than two defensive funds: WTMF (managed futures) and FTLS (hedged equity). If yes, it goes 50/50 into two 3x tech funds (TQQQ, TECL). If not, it picks the 3 strongest, by short‑term trend, from a safety mix (Treasuries long/short, volatility, US dollar, managed futures, FTLS), equal‑weighted. Rebalanced daily; tech mode is very volatile.
Out-of-sample edge: ~39.8% annualized return vs SPY’s ~18.1%, Sharpe ~0.83, Calmar ~1.22. In risk-on regimes it leans into 3x tech; in risk-off it rotates to diversifiers for higher upside with controlled drawdowns versus the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.44 | 2.19 | 0.45 | 0.67 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100.93% | 14.33% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.88 | |
| 2,375.49% | 85.13% | 5.98% | -11.75% | 1.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$247,548.62Regulatory Fees
$1,016.26
Total Slippage
$6,139.54
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, momentum, tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, managed futures, bonds, volatility, currency
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks