SMH/WTMF and SMH/FTLS compares v2 WM 74
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily risk-on/risk-off switch: if semiconductors look stronger on RSI, go 50/50 into leveraged tech (TQQQ, TECL). If not, rotate into the top short-term performers among bonds (long or short), volatility, hedged equity, managed futures, or the U.S. dollar.
Daily, it checks whether semiconductors (SMH) show stronger recent momentum than diversifiers, using RSI (a 0–100 score of recent up vs down moves). If SMH beats managed‑futures (WTMF, 10‑day) or hedged‑equity (FTLS, 20‑day), it buys two 3× tech funds 50/50 (TQQQ, TECL). Otherwise it holds the 3 best 5‑day performers among long/short Treasuries (TMF/TMV), volatility up/down (VIXM/SVXY), U.S. dollar (UUP), hedged equity (FTLS), and trend‑following (KMLM).
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~39.8% annualized return with a 32.5% max drawdown—versus SPY’s ~18.1% return and ~18.8% drawdown. Calmar ~1.22 signals strong risk-adjusted upside and diversification beyond the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.41 | 2.21 | 0.46 | 0.68 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108.83% | 14.8% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.9 | |
| 2,366.06% | 82.39% | 2.53% | -0.03% | 1.36 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$246,606.11Regulatory Fees
$1,039.19
Total Slippage
$6,276.87
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, momentum (rsi), leveraged tech, managed futures, rates/vol/dollar, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks