SMH/WTMF and SMH/FTLS compares v2 WM 74
Today’s Change (Jan 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily risk-on/off. If semiconductors are stronger than defensive/alt funds, go 100% into leveraged tech (TQQQ, TECL). Otherwise, hold the 3 short‑term winners among bonds, volatility, managed futures, long/short equity, and the US dollar.
Each day it compares the recent “strength” of SMH (semiconductor stocks) to alternatives using RSI (a 0–100 score of recent gains vs losses). If SMH beats WTMF (managed‑futures) on a fast lookback, or FTLS (hedged stocks) on a slower one, it buys 50/50 TQQQ and TECL (both 3x tech). If not, it picks the 3 best 1‑week performers from TMF/TMV (long/short Treasuries), SVXY/VIXM (volatility), FTLS, KMLM (managed‑futures), and UUP (US dollar), equally weighted.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~34.7% annualized return with Calmar ~1.07 and Sharpe ~0.77 vs. the S&P—strong upside from leveraged tech in risk-on, plus macro-trend pivots when leadership fades, accepting higher drawdown risk (~32.5%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.46 | 2.16 | 0.45 | 0.67 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102.84% | 14.92% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.9 | |
| 2,554.71% | 90.51% | 1.85% | -10.92% | 1.45 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$265,470.82Regulatory Fees
$999.93
Total Slippage
$6,041.36
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, relative strength, momentum, leveraged etfs, risk-on/off, managed futures, volatility, treasuries, us dollar
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks