SMH/WTMF and SMH/FTLS compares v2 w/ Prerunner WM 74
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily tactical strategy: hedge with VIX when stocks look overheated, buy 3x tech when washed out, guard against sharp drops, and otherwise choose between riding semiconductor-led tech strength or rotating into alternative trends (managed futures, vol, Treasuries, USD).
Rules:
- RSI (0–100 heat score): very high → hedge with UVXY (VIX); very low → buy 3x tech (TQQQ/TECL).
- Big short‑term drop (“max drawdown”) → move to safety/hedges (BSV bonds or TMV, 3x inverse Treasuries).
- Else: compare chip stocks (SMH) to managed‑futures (WTMF) and long/short stocks (FTLS). If chips stronger, ride 3x tech; if not, own the 3 strongest of TMF/TMV, SVXY/VIXM (vol), FTLS, KMLM (managed‑futures), or UUP (US dollar). Rebalances daily.
Edge: 29.42% annualized out-of-sample return vs S&P 18.10%, with Calmar 0.93. Active, diversified tech-led rotations and hedges (vol, futures, bonds) aim for big upside while managing risk; downside: larger drawdowns (~31.5%) in stress.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,daily rebalanced,leveraged etfs,tech momentum,risk-on/risk-off,volatility hedging,managed futures,long/short equity,bonds,us dollar
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks