SMH/WTMF and SMH/FTLS compares v2 w/ Prerunner WM 74
Today’s Change (Jan 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, it chases tech when semiconductors lead and shifts to hedges when markets look too hot or too shaky. Uses a simple short‑term “heat score” (RSI) and rotates among volatility, bonds, managed futures, and the US dollar.
Checks markets daily with a short‑term “heat score” (RSI: 0–100). If semiconductors (SMH) are hotter than defensive trend/hedge funds (WTMF managed‑futures, FTLS long/short), it goes risk‑on with leveraged tech (TQQQ/TECL). If markets look overheated, it buys volatility protection (UVXY). If very weak, it buys for a rebound (TQQQ) or flips to defense (SQQQ or bonds). Otherwise it rotates into the best of TMF/TMV, SVXY/VIXM, FTLS, KMLM (managed futures), or UUP (US dollar).
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~24.4% annualized returns vs SPY’s ~17.9%, via tech leadership and diversified hedges. Higher upside with larger drawdowns—suited for long-horizon, risk-tolerant investors seeking diversification.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.89 | 0.91 | 0.11 | 0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102.84% | 14.92% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.9 | |
| 10,804.49% | 151.49% | 1.85% | -8.61% | 2.24 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,090,449.38Regulatory Fees
$5,099.07
Total Slippage
$32,318.46
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, momentum, trend-following, tech-leaning, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, volatility hedges, managed futures
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks