SMH/WTMF and SMH/FTLS compares v2 w/ Prerunner WM 74
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily tactical strategy: hedge with VIX when stocks look overheated, buy 3x tech when washed out, guard against sharp drops, and otherwise choose between riding semiconductor-led tech strength or rotating into alternative trends (managed futures, vol, Treasuries, USD).
Rules:
- RSI (0–100 heat score): very high → hedge with UVXY (VIX); very low → buy 3x tech (TQQQ/TECL).
- Big short‑term drop (“max drawdown”) → move to safety/hedges (BSV bonds or TMV, 3x inverse Treasuries).
- Else: compare chip stocks (SMH) to managed‑futures (WTMF) and long/short stocks (FTLS). If chips stronger, ride 3x tech; if not, own the 3 strongest of TMF/TMV, SVXY/VIXM (vol), FTLS, KMLM (managed‑futures), or UUP (US dollar). Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample edge: ~29.4% annualized return vs ~18.1% for the S&P, powered by tech leadership and adaptive hedging. Expect larger drawdowns (~31.5% vs 18.8%), but Calmar ~0.93 signals meaningful risk-adjusted upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108.41% | 14.75% | 9.27% | 4.88% | 0.9 | |
| 11,806.57% | 144.86% | 22.58% | 17.51% | 2.16 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,190,656.98Regulatory Fees
$5,376.01
Total Slippage
$34,089.01
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,daily rebalanced,leveraged etfs,tech momentum,risk-on/risk-off,volatility hedging,managed futures,long/short equity,bonds,us dollar
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks