SMH/WTMF and SMH/FTLS compares v2 w/ Prerunner WM 74
Today’s Change (Jul 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily tactical strategy: hedge with VIX when stocks look overheated, buy 3x tech when washed out, guard against sharp drops, and otherwise choose between riding semiconductor-led tech strength or rotating into alternative trends (managed futures, vol, Treasuries, USD).
Rules:
- RSI (0–100 heat score): very high → hedge with UVXY (VIX); very low → buy 3x tech (TQQQ/TECL).
- Big short‑term drop (“max drawdown”) → move to safety/hedges (BSV bonds or TMV, 3x inverse Treasuries).
- Else: compare chip stocks (SMH) to managed‑futures (WTMF) and long/short stocks (FTLS). If chips stronger, ride 3x tech; if not, own the 3 strongest of TMF/TMV, SVXY/VIXM (vol), FTLS, KMLM (managed‑futures), or UUP (US dollar). Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample annualized return 20.6% vs 17.6% for the S&P, driven by tech momentum, hedges, and alts. A dynamic, diversified strategy that captures growth while using risk-on/off hedges and trend-following assets to manage risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | 1.02 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119.14% | 15.1% | 0.57% | 4.94% | 0.92 | |
| 11,528.68% | 134.54% | 7.46% | -0.93% | 2.03 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,162,868.38Regulatory Fees
$4,653.84
Total Slippage
$38,076.03
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,daily rebalanced,leveraged etfs,tech momentum,risk-on/risk-off,volatility hedging,managed futures,long/short equity,bonds,us dollar
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks