SMH, XLK, 5D Max DD > 15
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
A tech‑momentum switch: if chips (SMH) or broad tech (XLK) outpace a trend ETF (KMLM), go long (TECL for strong signals, QQQ for milder). If not, short tech with TECS—unless tech just plunged (>15% in 5 days), then retreat to QQQ.
Rotates 100% among: TECL (3x long tech), QQQ (Nasdaq‑100), or TECS (3x inverse tech).
Step 1: If semiconductors (SMH) show stronger 10‑day price strength (RSI: 0–100 gauge of recent rise) than a trend ETF (KMLM; managed‑futures), buy TECL.
Else if broad tech (XLK) beats KMLM, buy QQQ.
Else use TECL’s 5‑day max drawdown (biggest peak‑to‑trough drop): if >15%, buy QQQ; otherwise buy TECS. No set rebalance; switches when signals flip.
Tech-rotation strategy delivering outsized upside: out-of-sample annualized return ~45.8% vs SPY ~18.7%, Calmar ~1.03. Higher drawdowns (~44.7%), but potential for rapid tech gain when leadership shifts.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.24 | 0.26 | 0 | 0.07 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.01% | 14.06% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.86 | |
| 24,203.06% | 187.92% | 0.01% | 0.99% | 1.93 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,430,306.19Regulatory Fees
$6,352.42
Total Slippage
$42,784.30
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 15, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation,momentum,technology,leveraged etfs,risk-on/risk-off,trend-following
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type