SMH/WTMF and SMH/FTLS compares v2 WM 74
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A high-risk market-timing strategy that uses semiconductor strength as a green light for leveraged tech, and otherwise rotates into whichever defensive or alternative assets are strongest.
This strategy asks a simple question each day: “Are chip stocks acting stronger than defensive investments?”
If yes, it goes all-in on two very aggressive tech funds: TQQQ and TECL.
If not, it avoids that bet and instead picks the 3 strongest recent performers from a mix of bond, volatility, dollar, and alternative funds such as KMLM and FTLS.
Out-of-sample, this strategy aims ~46% annualized return vs ~17% for the S&P, with a ~0.94 Calmar risk-adjusted edge. It uses chip-led momentum and hedges to target big upside in tech cycles, accepting higher drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.43 | 2.26 | 0.45 | 0.67 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128.5% | 15.19% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.94 | |
| 3,736.7% | 86.63% | 2.74% | 8.18% | 1.4 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$383,669.96Regulatory Fees
$1,074.38
Total Slippage
$7,944.53
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum, relative strength, leveraged etfs, tech-focused, defensive rotation, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks