SMH FTLT V2 (100% RR, 36% MD, 43.5% SD, 2012 BT)
Today’s Change (Mar 12, 2026)
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About
Daily strategy built around semiconductors: ride uptrends, hedge overheated markets with volatility, buy 3× tech/S&P on sharp dips, or go defensive with short semis or short‑term bonds. Driven by simple hot/cold and trend checks.
Daily, it checks two things: trend and “heat.”
• Trend: is SMH (semiconductors) above its 200‑day average? If yes, hold SMH unless QQQ/SPY/SMH look too hot (10‑day RSI very high), then switch to VIXY (volatility).
• If no, try bounce buys when QQQ/SPY are very cold (use TECL or SPXL). Otherwise use UVXY (volatility gauge) and a 20‑day trend to pick VIXY, SMH, or defense (SSG short‑semis, or BSV bonds). RSI=hot/cold; 20/200‑day avgs=trend.
Out-of-sample edge: ~105% annualized return vs ~28% S&P; Sharpe ~2.86 vs 2.37; Calmar ~8.9; alpha ~0.29%. Semis leadership with volatility hedges and tactical leverage aims for stronger risk-adjusted upside, despite higher drawdowns than SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.65 | 0.81 | 0.1 | 0.32 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 475.03% | 13.94% | -2.23% | -2.01% | 0.86 | |
| 938,928.64% | 97.9% | -4.43% | 9.95% | 1.82 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$93,902,864.13Regulatory Fees
$92,311.81
Total Slippage
$657,556.24
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 6, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Semiconductors, tactical rotation, trend + mean reversion, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSG
ProShares UltraShort Semiconductors
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks