SMH FTLT V2 (100% RR, 36% MD, 43.5% SD, 2012 BT)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A fast-moving strategy centered on semiconductor stocks: own chips in good trends, switch to fear/volatility when markets look overheated, and in weak markets hunt for rebounds or fall back to bearish semis or bonds.
This strategy watches semiconductor stocks first. If chip stocks are in a strong long-term uptrend, it usually owns SMH, a semiconductor fund. But if the market looks unusually overheated, it switches to VIXY, a fund that tends to rise when fear jumps.
If chip stocks are in a weak long-term trend, it looks for a sharp rebound in tech or the broad market using TECL or SPXL. If no rebound setup appears, it may hold VIXY during panic, buy SMH if chips recover, or choose between a bearish chip fund (SSG) and short-term bonds (BSV).
Out-of-sample, semis-driven strategy targets ~44% annualized return vs ~21% for the S&P, with Calmar ~1.80, meaning strong risk-adjusted upside. Expect higher volatility and larger drawdowns in stress markets, aided by adaptive hedges.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.64 | 0.81 | 0.1 | 0.31 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 572.6% | 14.57% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.9 | |
| 1,229,500.65% | 95.83% | -6.6% | -4.69% | 1.77 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$122,960,065.18Regulatory Fees
$97,809.78
Total Slippage
$934,498.43
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 6, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Semiconductors, tactical asset allocation, trend-following, mean-reversion, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSG
ProShares UltraShort Semiconductors
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks