SM Switchboard v1.2 (2012 Backtest)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily “switchboard” that dials risk up or down. In uptrends it rides aggressive tech/semiconductor ETFs; when overheated or weak it hedges or flips short. Separate sleeves trend‑follow Treasuries and commodities and keep a gold stake.
Each day it checks if stocks are trending up or down (using moving averages) and how “hot or cold” they are (RSI, a 0–100 heat gauge: >~80 overheated, <~30 washed out).
• Uptrend: lean into aggressive tech/semis (e.g., TQQQ, TECL, SOXL, UPRO). If overheated, add hedges (VIXY) or rotate to defensives (XLP, TLT, UUP).
• Down/sideways: cut risk or use inverse funds (PSQ/SQQQ), sometimes guided by bond strength (TLT).
Separate sleeves trend‑follow Treasuries (TLT/IEF vs SHV/SHY), commodities (DBC vs SHV), and hold gold (GLD). A monthly gate (BND) toggles risk‑on vs risk‑off baskets. It trades ETFs like TQQQ/TECL/SOXL/UPRO (leveraged stock), PSQ/SQQQ (short Nasdaq), TLT/IEF (Treasuries), DBC (commodities), GLD/UGL (gold), UUP (US dollar), VIXY/SVXY (volatility).
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~41% annualized return vs SPY's ~20.6%, using a dynamic, multi-sleeve approach (tech momentum, hedges, bonds, commodities, gold) to compound while managing risk—note larger drawdowns in crises.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend following, momentum, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, volatility hedging, bonds, commodities, gold
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 44 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
LTPZ
PIMCO 15+ Year U.S. TIPS Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks