Single Pops (Medium Leverage - No Black Swan Catcher) l 2 Nov 2011
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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About
Daily tactical strategy: sit in T‑bills until markets hit extremes; buy long‑vol (UVXY/VIXM) when stocks look overheated, and use leveraged equity plus short‑vol or bonds when markets look washed out.
Each day it checks a 10‑day heat score (RSI) on big stock indexes. If any look extremely hot, it buys funds that jump when fear spikes (UVXY and VIXM) to catch a volatility pop. If tech or the S&P look washed out, it mixes leveraged stock funds (QLD or SSO) with either bonds (BSV) or an inverse‑vol fund (SVXY), chosen by recent strength. Otherwise it sits in T‑bills (BIL). Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample edge: higher, risk-adjusted returns than the S&P 500. About 32% annualized vs 21%, max drawdown ~15% vs ~19%, Sharpe ~1.30 vs ~1.25, Calmar ~2.10, beta ~0.54—more growth with less market beta.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.32 | 0.18 | 0.02 | 0.14 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 648.54% | 14.93% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.91 | |
| 10,434.69% | 37.99% | 7.82% | 3.52% | 1.58 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,053,468.59Regulatory Fees
$2,699.99
Total Slippage
$17,051.16
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 2, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, volatility, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VOOG
Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
Stocks