Single Pops (Medium Leverage - No Black Swan Catcher) l 2 Nov 2011
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Contrarian, RSI‑driven swing strategy: fade overheated markets with VIX funds; buy leveraged stock funds after washouts; hold T‑bills when neutral. Medium leverage; uses both long and short volatility.
It takes a 10‑day “hot/cold” reading (RSI: 0–100 score of how fast prices rose/fell) on QQQ/SPY and key styles/sectors. If any look too hot (>~80), it bets on a pullback via VIX funds (UVXY=fast, VIXM=steadier). If too cold (<~28), it buys rebound plays: 2x stock funds (QLD tech or SSO S&P) plus either short‑vol (SVXY) if calm returns or short‑term bonds (BSV). Otherwise it parks in T‑bills (BIL). Trades on signal flips, with ~10% drift allowed.
Out-of-sample edge: ~31% annualized return vs 22% S&P, max drawdown ~15% vs ~19%, Calmar ~2.05, Sharpe ~1.40. A contrarian, volatility-aware swing strategy aiming higher upside with controlled risk vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.32 | 0.17 | 0.02 | 0.13 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620.2% | 14.76% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 9,717.8% | 37.69% | -5.98% | -3.83% | 1.57 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$981,780.19Regulatory Fees
$2,555.24
Total Slippage
$16,109.61
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 22, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Contrarian, rsi signals, tactical allocation, volatility etps, leveraged etfs, mean reversion, swing trading
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VOOG
Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
Stocks