Simplified TQQQ/TECL FTLT DG 12092024
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
Daily tactical switcher using leveraged ETFs. It checks SPY’s 200‑day trend, then uses hot/cold readings (RSI) and volatility to pick 3x Tech/Nasdaq (TQQQ, TECL), 3x S&P (SPXL/UPRO), short Nasdaq (SQQQ), volatility (UVXY), or Treasuries (TLT).
Daily:
1) Trend test: SPY above its 200‑day average = uptrend; else downtrend.
- Uptrend: If TQQQ RSI>80 (hot) hold UVXY (volatility). If RSI<30 (cold) buy TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100). Else: if Nasdaq volatility < SPY’s, buy TECL (3x tech); otherwise SPXL (3x S&P 500).
- Downtrend: If TQQQ RSI<30 and Nasdaq is calm buy TECL; else use SQQQ (−3x Nasdaq) and TLT (Treasuries), with brief UPRO (3x S&P) buys when SPY is oversold.
RSI is a 0–100 heat gauge of recent buying/selling.
Out-of-sample: 7.34% annualized vs SPY 14.80%; Sharpe 0.45 vs 0.83; max drawdown 50% vs 19%. A rules-based, leveraged tilt to tech and dynamic hedges, designed to complement SPY with upside potential and diversified risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.58 | 1.31 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 681.5% | 15.36% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.94 | |
| 533,669.87% | 81.6% | 2.33% | -21.46% | 1.27 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$53,376,987.17Regulatory Fees
$83,937.13
Total Slippage
$593,783.33
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 9, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend-following, mean-reversion, market timing, risk-on/off, volatility filter, tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks