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Symphonies
simplified Fickle MACD Bull
Today’s Change
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A risk-on/risk-off S&P 500 strategy. Calm and trending → heavy S&P (sometimes 3×). In jumpy markets, it reads trend and whether moves look overheated/washed‑out to choose SPY, hedge with an S&P short, or rotate into the strongest defensives.
NutHow it works
Tickers: SPY=S&P 500; UPRO=3× S&P; SH=short S&P; TIP=inflation‑Treasuries; IEI=3–7y Treasuries; UUP=US dollar; DBC=commodities; GLD=gold. Calm market: if stocks beat commodities, go UPRO; else hold the strongest single defensive. Turbulent: Up+not hot → SPY. Up+hot → SH + 2 defensives. Down+washed‑out → UPRO. Else → 2 defensives.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: ~34% annualized return vs ~24% for SPY, driven by regime-aware hedging and diversified defensives. Higher upside, but expect larger drawdowns (~30% vs ~19%) and a modestly lower risk-adjusted Sharpe.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 10, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend/momentum, volatility filter, macd/rsi signals, leveraged & inverse etfs, risk-on/risk-off, multi-asset defense, s&p 500 focus
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

"simplified Fickle MACD Bull" is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

"simplified Fickle MACD Bull" is currently allocated toUPRO. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, "simplified Fickle MACD Bull" has returned 33.86%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for "simplified Fickle MACD Bull" is 30.42%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in "simplified Fickle MACD Bull", simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, crypto, and options.