Simplified Extra Levered Way Too Long Backtest Switchboard - K-1 Free
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily, rules-based switchboard: in uptrends it rides leveraged tech (TQQQ), flips to long Treasuries (TMF) when overheated, and in downtrends moves to cash-like bonds or inverse hedges (QID/SH). It favors the best recent playbooks. Very aggressive.
It’s a daily switchboard. It checks a long‑term trend (price vs 200‑day average) and a short‑term heat score (RSI, 0–100; >80 hot, <30 cold). In uptrends it rides tech via TQQQ (3× Nasdaq‑100); if too hot it parks in long Treasuries via TMF (3×). In downtrends it moves to cash‑like Treasuries (SHY/BSV/BIL/SHV) or hedges with inverse funds like QID (‑2× Nasdaq) or SH (‑1× S&P). Three mini‑playbooks run; it allocates more to the ones with stronger recent gains and lower past drawdowns.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~44% vs SPY ~22%. A rules-based, daily switchboard that leverages tech in uptrends and shifts to Treasuries/hedges in downturns—delivering higher upside potential with disciplined risk management versus the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 17, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs,tactical allocation,trend & momentum,sector rotation,treasuries vs equities,inverse hedges,rule-based,daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks