Simplified CQ | BTC Rally Rider v2.1a
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A momentum-based, single-asset BTC-play that picks the strongest short-term Bitcoin-related asset (COIN, MARA, BITF, BITX) when Bitcoin’s trend is favorable, allocating 100% to that asset. If Bitcoin looks risky, it may hedge via BITI instead of buying the crypto assets. No regular rebalancing; uses a simple trend-and-dain (drawdown) risk guardrails.
In plain language:
- The system looks at a few Bitcoin-related assets (Coinbase stock COIN, Marathon Digital MARA, Bitfarms BITF, and BitX BITX). It also watches Bitcoin ETFs like BITO and its inverse BITI.
- It scans which asset has looked strongest over a short recent period (about 3 days) and chooses the top performer. It then buys that single asset with all available cash.
- Before buying, it checks whether Bitcoin overall is in a healthy uptrend by comparing BITO’s short-term trend to its longer-term trend. If BITO looks bullish, the system proceeds to buy the top performer among the BTC-related assets.
- If BITO isn’t in a healthy uptrend, the system may check whether BITO’s recent drawdown is severe. If BITO has fallen more than 10% in the last month, the system may switch to BITI (an inverse Bitcoin ETF) to hedge instead of buying the BTC assets.
- There is no regular rebalancing; once a signal fires, you hold the chosen asset until the next signal. The allocation is effectively 100% to the selected asset (cash-equal weight wording suggests full exposure rather than a diversified mix).
- In short: you’re betting on the best short-term Bitcoin-related asset when the market trend supports it, with a built-in hedge if the Bitcoin market looks risky.
Out-of-sample edge: ~51% annualized return vs ~22% for the S&P, with trend-hedged, single-asset BTC bets and BITO/BITI guards. No regular rebalancing. Strong upside in crypto cycles—risk: larger drawdowns than the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | 2.51 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.24% | 17.98% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.16 | |
| 2,007.68% | 209.45% | -10.74% | -2.62% | 1.63 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$210,768.21Regulatory Fees
$1,282.02
Total Slippage
$5,512.33
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 21, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto assets, momentum trading, bitcoin etfs, mining stocks, 1-asset-at-a-time, trend risk controls
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total