Simpler BIL vs TLT and SBND vs HIBL
Today’s Change (Mar 23, 2026)
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About
A daily momentum switcher that rotates among leveraged tech (TQQQ/QLD), a hedge (PSQ), or short‑term Treasuries (BIL) by comparing bond strength (BIL vs TLT) and bond vs high‑beta stock strength (SBND vs HIBL) using an RSI “heat gauge.”
It uses an RSI “heat gauge” of recent price moves to flip between: tech funds (TQQQ 3x or QLD 2x), a hedge (PSQ, −1x tech), or safety (BIL, short‑term US Treasuries). Step 1: compare short‑ vs long‑term Treasuries (BIL vs TLT). Step 2: check if the S&P 500 (SPY) is red‑hot. If hot, park in BIL; if not, use TQQQ. Otherwise, compare a bond fund (SBND) vs a turbo stock fund (HIBL). If stocks look stronger, hedge with PSQ; else use QLD. Rebalanced daily.
RSI‑driven momentum rotation across Treasuries, leveraged tech, and hedges offers diversification and risk management for a broader portfolio. Given weaker out‑of‑sample results vs SPY, use as a satellite, not a core replacement.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | 0.68 | 0.1 | 0.32 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.31% | 11.06% | -5.67% | -5.04% | 0.69 | |
| 3,266.02% | 120.75% | 8.56% | 8.99% | 2.32 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$336,601.87Regulatory Fees
$953.40
Total Slippage
$5,966.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 16, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, momentum, rsi, leveraged etfs, nasdaq-100 focus, treasuries, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SBND
Columbia Short Duration Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks