[SIMPLE] v1.1 TQQQ or BvBvB | BlackSwan MeanRev BondSignal
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A sophisticated, multi-layer framework that rotates between leveraged tech bets (like TQQQ/QQQ) and volatility/bond hedges, guided by RSI, momentum, and volatility signals to chase big moves while trying to protect against sudden market stress.
- The strategy watches a broad set of ETFs, some of which are leveraged bets on tech (like TQQQ and TECL) and some hedges for volatility (like UVXY, VIXY, SQQQ, SVIX, SVOL).
- It also considers bond-related assets (TLT, IEF, BND, TMF, TMV) to gauge risk-off opportunities.
- Two big ideas drive decisions:
1) BlackSwan Mean Reversion: a protective/alert logic that looks for extreme conditions (high RSI on QQQ, spikes in volatility) and moves capital toward hedges to limit losses.
2) BondSignal Overlay: compares bond vs. stock signals (relative strength, momentum) to tilt between risk-on tech bets and risk-off/neutral positions.
- The internal logic uses several indicators in layered if-then rules, including RSI-like metrics, cumulative returns, moving-window volatility, and moving-average checks to gauge whether assets are overbought/oversold or volatile enough to justify hedging.
- When conditions favor risk-on, the system rotates into tech-oriented, leveraged exposures (e.g., TQQQ, TECL, TECS, SVIX for hedging complements, SVOL for vol hedging, etc.). When conditions favor risk-off, it shifts toward hedges and bonds (UVXY, VIXY, SQQQ combos with bond/bond-like ETFs).
- The rotation between “Long Rotator” and “Short Rotator” within Tech groups is based on ranking recent volatility/return (standard deviation) and selecting top or bottom performers, then combining with a hedging or downside-protection stance.
- The design includes nested guardrails and scenario-based groups (Dips/Rips/VIX, Vixation, Huge volatility, BlackSwanCatcher) to attempt to capture and defend against abrupt market moves.
- In practice, this is a high-risk, high-complexity framework requiring careful backtesting, risk controls, and position sizing. It relies on multiple leverage and hedging instruments that amplify both potential gains and losses.
Out-of-sample edge: ~20.8% annualized return vs ~19.1% for the S&P. A dynamic mix of leveraged tech bets and volatility/bond hedges targets big upside while defending against spikes with protective overlays.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | 1.34 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.32% | 12.42% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.76 | |
| 1,502.11% | 102.75% | 2.06% | -2.97% | 1.82 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$160,211.16Regulatory Fees
$659.16
Total Slippage
$3,865.47
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-strategy, levered tech bets, volatility hedges, bond overlay
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks