[SIMPLE] v1.1 TQQQ or BvBvB | BlackSwan MeanRev BondSignal
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Aggressive, rule-driven switcher centered on leveraged tech. Buys dips, fades rips, and shifts into volatility/bond hedges when fear or jumpiness rises. Uses RSI, trend, and bond signals. High risk; seeks big upside with crash defenses.
It’s a rules-based switch. It checks: trend (price vs 25‑day average), a speedometer (RSI: 0–100; <30 = washed‑out dip, >80 = too hot), jumpiness (recent volatility), and the fear gauge (VIX funds). In calm uptrends it owns leveraged tech (TQQQ/TECL/UPRO). On fast drops it buys the dip. If too hot or fear spikes, it flips to inverse tech/VIX hedges. Bond signals guide risk.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~20.8% vs S&P ~19%; Sharpe ~0.62. A rules-based, regime-switching strategy that aggressively taps tech upside while using bond/volatility hedges to dampen drawdowns—even as storms can bring bigger max declines.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | 1.34 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.71% | 13.16% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.79 | |
| 1,531.81% | 105.04% | 3.65% | -6.29% | 1.84 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$163,181.34Regulatory Fees
$639.18
Total Slippage
$3,742.42
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical/regime-switching, leveraged tech, mean-reversion + trend, volatility hedging, inverse etfs, bond-vs-stock signal
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks