Rules-driven, tech-focused strategy. Uses a 200‑day trend filter and a short‑term “heat gauge” to toggle between leveraged Nasdaq exposure, a volatility hedge, Treasuries, cash/bonds, and two steady stocks. Aggressive in uptrends, defensive in downtrends.

1) Trend check: if the S&P 500 sits above its 200‑day average, it’s “risk‑on”; otherwise “defensive.” RSI is a 0–100 heat gauge of recent moves (>80 very hot, <31 very cold). Risk‑on: if things are very hot short‑term, switch to a volatility spike hedge; otherwise ride the Nasdaq‑100 with 2x–3x funds or a QQQ+leveraged‑Treasury mix, chosen by a medium‑term strength read. Defensive: if tech is washed out, try a brief 3x tech bounce; otherwise split roughly into T‑Bills/cash, a small sleeve that can short tech or sit in bonds (or occasionally go long tech) based on short‑term signals, and two steady stocks (Costco, UnitedHealth).

Out-of-sample edge: ~50% annualized return vs ~21% for the S&P, with Calmar ~1.44—strong risk-adjusted gains. Regime rules steer Nasdaq leverage with hedges for bigger upside and disciplined downside protection.