Simple SPY/VGT (58/18)
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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About
A market-timing strategy that usually owns the S&P 500 and tech stocks, but shifts to cash/defense when markets look too hot or risky, and occasionally buys aggressive semiconductor exposure after panic spikes.
This strategy mostly chooses between the S&P 500 (SPY), technology stocks (VGT), cash-like Treasury bills (BIL), and a few high-risk emergency positions.
It checks whether the market looks overheated, panicky, or weak using recent price behavior. If markets look too hot, it often moves to a defensive mix of cash and volatility protection. If stocks look beaten down, it buys tech. In normal uptrends, it holds SPY and VGT roughly 50/50.
Out-of-sample: ~43.7% annual return, max drawdown 17.4%, Sharpe 0.98, Calmar 2.50—stronger risk-adjusted upside vs the S&P. Dynamic cash/defense and selective tech/semis aim for resilience and growth.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.34 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.55 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 712.38% | 14.97% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.92 | |
| 84,677.23% | 56.68% | -5.18% | -1.18% | 1.77 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,477,723.29Regulatory Fees
$12,147.26
Total Slippage
$106,951.44
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 18, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market timing, us equities, technology, risk management, trend following, mean reversion
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VGT
Vanguard Information Technology ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks