A one-position market-timing strategy that switches among broad U.S. stocks, leveraged tech, a volatility surge fund, and gold based on short-term market extremes and stock trend strength.

This strategy is always all-in on one holding. It first checks QQQ (a tech-heavy U.S. stock fund) to see if the market looks unusually hot or unusually beaten down over the last 10 days. - If very hot, it buys UVXY, a fund that tends to rise when market fear jumps. - If very beaten down, it buys QLD, a fund that gives extra upside if big tech rebounds. If neither extreme is happening, it looks at SPY (a fund tracking the S&P 500). If SPY is trading above its long-term trend line, it holds SPY. If not, it checks a shorter-term trend line: still above it, hold SPY; below it, move to GLD (gold) for defense.

Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers strong risk-adjusted metrics versus the S&P: Sharpe ~1.06, Calmar ~1.28, ~18.55% annualized return, and tactical hedges via volatility, tech, or gold for resilience and upside capture.