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Simple Regime Switching V2.1
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A simple regime‑switcher: ride uptrends with 2x Nasdaq, retreat to Treasuries or the US dollar when stocks weaken, and in deep selloffs either bet on a short‑term rebound or pair inverse Nasdaq with defensive staples. Uses leveraged ETFs.
NutHow it works
1) If the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average (long‑term trend), go all‑in QLD (2x Nasdaq‑100, tech‑heavy). 2) Else, if SPY’s 50‑day > 200‑day, hide in safety: TLT (long US Treasuries) if its 50‑day ≥ 200‑day; otherwise UUP (long US dollar). 3) Else, in a downtrend: if RSI‑10 on SPY (0–100 speed‑of‑moves gauge) < 30, bet on a rebound with QLD; otherwise split 50/50 QID (−2x Nasdaq‑100) and XLP (consumer‑staples).
CheckmarkValue prop
Regime-switching strategy: 2x Nasdaq in uptrends, hedges in downturns. Out-of-sample annualized return ~41.8% vs SPY ~23.1%, with Calmar ~1.31 and Sharpe ~1.15—strong risk-adjusted upside. Expect higher drawdowns (~32%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.260.80.230.48
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
563.59%10.47%0.54%-0.34%0.6
31,221.09%35.29%3.36%-6.75%1.08
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,132,109.43
Regulatory Fees
$1,701.96
Total Slippage
$9,895.43
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 26, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, trend following, mean reversion, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, multi-asset, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

"Simple Regime Switching V2.1" is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

"Simple Regime Switching V2.1" is currently allocated toQLD. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, "Simple Regime Switching V2.1" has returned 37.32%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for "Simple Regime Switching V2.1" is 31.98%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in "Simple Regime Switching V2.1", simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.