Simple Regime Switching V2.1
Today’s Change (Apr 9, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Switches between aggressive tech (QLD), safety (TLT or UUP), or defense (QID + XLP) based on SPY trends and an oversold signal (RSI). Goal: ride uptrends, hide when weak, and occasionally buy sharp dips.
It first checks SPY (S&P 500 fund) vs its 200‑day average price. Above = uptrend → buy QLD (2x fund tied to tech‑heavy Nasdaq‑100).
Below: if SPY’s 50‑day avg > 200‑day, hide in TLT (long US Treasuries); but if TLT is weak, use UUP (US dollar).
If 50‑day ≤ 200‑day: if RSI(10)<30 (oversold momentum gauge 0–100), bet on a bounce with QLD; else split QID (2x inverse Nasdaq‑100) and XLP (consumer‑staples).
Out-of-sample edge: ~41.8% annualized return vs SPY's ~23.1%, with Calmar ~1.31. Strong upside across regimes and risk-managed switching; expect higher drawdowns (~32%) and a slightly lower Sharpe, but superior long-run growth potential.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.26 | 0.8 | 0.23 | 0.48 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 560.23% | 10.38% | -0.06% | -1.69% | 0.6 | |
| 30,695.08% | 34.98% | -1.22% | -6.46% | 1.08 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,079,508.21Regulatory Fees
$2,076.05
Total Slippage
$12,349.86
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 26, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, trend following, tactical allocation, momentum, etfs, leveraged/inverse, bonds, currency, defensive sectors
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total