Simple Portfolio (UVXY) + v4 Pops + V1a TQQQ or not
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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About
A rules-based “risk-on/risk-off” playbook: hedge or go safe when markets look hot or fear is rising; buy leveraged tech on oversold dips; otherwise hold dividend or defensive assets. Uses short-term heat gauges and slower trend filters.
RSI = 0–100 heat meter; >80 overheated, <30 washed out. UVXY = fear hedge (spikes when VIX jumps). SVXY = gains when fear calms. TQQQ/TECL/SOXL/SPXL = fast tech/S&P funds. BIL=T‑Bills; TMF/TMV=long/short 20yr Treas.; SCHD/DGRO=dividends; DBC=commodities; UGL=2x gold; BTAL=defensive.
The rules: hedge or go safe when markets look hot or fear rising; buy fast tech funds on panicky dips; if nothing extreme, sit in dividends. Uses 1–10 day swings and ~6‑month trend checks.
Out-of-sample edge: ~64% annualized return vs ~23% for the S&P; Sharpe ~1.73 vs 1.43; Calmar ~2.82. Higher upside with hedging and regime switching; larger drawdowns in rare selloffs but better risk-adjusted performance.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 6, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, momentum & mean reversion, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 36 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DGRO
iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks