Simple Portfolio (UVXY) + v4 Pops
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A complex, volatility-forward tactical portfolio that uses RSI/momentum and moving-return tests across a large asset set (UVXY-centric) to time allocations. It stacks many conditional blocks (Bullish/Risk ON/OFF, Safety Town) to pick and weight assets, often favoring full allocations to a primary pick within each block. High potential upside in volatile regimes but with substantial complexity and risk.
- The portfolio is built from many nested blocks that each describe which assets to hold and how to weight them. each block has a set of tests that must be satisfied to trigger allocation.
- The main tests revolve around momentum signals (RSI) and moving-return screens. If an asset shows favorable momentum (or meets a specified threshold), it becomes a candidate for allocation within its block.
- When a block’s conditions fire, the system assigns weights to assets in that block, typically choosing full or large allocation to a single asset in that block (e.g., 100/100 or 85/15), rather than equally distributing across many assets.
- The assets involved include volatility-focused ETFs (UVXY, SVXY, VIXM), leveraged equity plays (TECL, SOXL, SPXL), and hedges/diversifiers (SCHD, DGRO, BTAL, BIL, TL T, USDU, VND variants). The exact mix depends on which nested conditions are met.
- There is no fixed rebalancing cadence; changes occur only when the internal rules dictate a new allocation. Fees, slippage, and futures-contango effects (especially with UVXY) will shape realized results.
- The blocks are themed around market regimes (e.g., “Bullish Market Conditions,” “Risk ON,” “Risk OFF,” “Safety Town”) and a few base layouts (e.g., “Base 2 – FTLT or Bull or Bonds”). These blocks aim to adapt the portfolio to shifts in market mood and risk appetite.
- RSI is explained for laymen: it’s a momentum gauge that ranges roughly from 0 to 100. Very high readings (roughly above 70-80) imply recent upside momentum; very low readings imply downside momentum. In this strategy, RSI helps decide when to tilt toward volatility plays, growth plays, or hedges.
- In short: you’re looking at a volatility-heavy, regime-timing framework that chases short-term opportunities across a wide set of assets, with heavy emphasis on UVXY and volatility hedges, tempered by dividend and bond exposure in some blocks.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~1.77 vs 1.41, Calmar ~3.20, and annualized return ~66.8% vs 22.5% for the S&P. A volatility-forward, regime-timing strategy aimed at higher upside in turbulence, with disciplined risk controls.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 22, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility, tactical multi-asset, leveraged/inverse, dividend hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 36 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DGRO
iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks