Simple Portfolio (UVXY) + v4 Pops
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
High‑octane, rules‑based switcher: fade overheated stock pops with UVXY, buy 3× tech rebounds after sharp selloffs, or sit in T‑Bills/bonds/gold when fear rises. Uses simple hot/cold (RSI), VIX trend, and Tech‑vs‑Staples leadership to pick risk‑on/off.
It flips quickly based on simple “heat/cold” and fear checks.
- RSI (a 10‑day hot/cold gauge): very hot pops → buy UVXY (a fear ETF) for a brief volatility bump; deep drops → buy 3× tech/semis/S&P (TECL/SOXL/SPXL) for snap‑backs, or hide in T‑Bills (BIL)/long bonds (TMF).
- It also uses VIX trends (VIXY), Tech vs Staples (XLK vs XLP), and bond trends to choose risk‑on vs defensive mixes (incl. SVXY, VIXM, BTAL, gold).
Out-of-sample edge: 66.8% annualized vs 22.5% for the S&P; Sharpe 1.77 vs 1.41; beta 0.73 (lower market risk); Calmar 3.20. Superior risk-adjusted upside with occasional drawdowns, vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.84 | 0.56 | 0.07 | 0.27 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323.67% | 13.09% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.79 | |
| 2,138,155.71% | 133.82% | -0.75% | 5.32% | 2.5 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$213,825,570.99Regulatory Fees
$573,282.55
Total Slippage
$4,073,521.08
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 22, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, volatility timing, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, sector rotation, bonds/gold hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 36 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DGRO
iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks