Simple Portfolio (UVXY)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A complex, rule-based rotation strategy centered on UVXY (volatility) and augmented by hedges, 3x leveraged tech/market ETFs, and dividend/defensive ballast. It uses momentum signals to flip between risk-on growth bets and risk-off hedges, with no fixed calendar rebalancing and a tight weight tolerance.
- The strategy evaluates a broad, four-block decision tree that selects assets and assigns weights based on momentum signals.
- Core trigger signals come from short-term momentum indicators (RSI, moving-average performance) and comparisons between UVXY (volatility) and other asset proxies (like QQQE, SPY, XLK, XLP, etc.).
- When signals favor higher volatility and/or strong momentum in growth assets, the blocks tilt toward UVXY’s ecosystem and 3x leveraged tech/market ETFs (e.g., TQQQ, TECL, SOXL, SPXL).
- When signals indicate risk-off conditions, the blocks favor hedges and defensive/deflationary exposure (SVXY, VIXM, BTAL, DBC, TMV, USDU, TBX, BND, etc.), and sometimes dividend-focused funds (SCHD, DGRO) for yield and stability.
- In practice, each block computes a selected asset or set of assets using rules like “relative strength index (RSI) over a window,” “moving-average return,” and “top/bottom filters,” then assigns weights (often 100% in a sub-branch when a rule is satisfied, or split weights in other branches). The structure regularly references asset tickers to pull in momentum signals for each asset.
- There is no fixed periodic rebalance; the system relies on rule-triggered adjustments with a tight weight-corridor (0.02) indicating limited drift around target allocations. The overall intent is to ride volatility and leverage in favorable regimes while hedging or pulling back in unfavorable regimes, with occasional dividend-oriented ballast.
- Important caveats for a layman: the use of 3x leveraged ETFs and UVXY means large upside but also outsized downside risk; this approach is suitable only for experienced traders with strong risk tolerance and robust risk controls.
Out-of-sample edge: roughly 65% annualized return vs ~22% for the S&P, Sharpe ~1.81 vs 1.41, and beta ~0.79. Calmar ~3.25 signals strong risk-adjusted upside with hedges and volatility bets, higher growth with disciplined risk control.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.72 | 0.57 | 0.08 | 0.29 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 322.55% | 13.07% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.79 | |
| 627,035.31% | 110.68% | -1.95% | 4.06% | 2.35 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$62,713,531.13Regulatory Fees
$156,343.94
Total Slippage
$1,084,566.03
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 21, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility, leveraged etfs, multi-block decision tree, risk-on/off, dividend ballast
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 33 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DGRO
iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SCHD
Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks