Simple Portfolio (UVXY)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
Aggressive switcher that buys UVXY (fear) when stocks look overheated, buys leveraged tech/S&P on sell‑offs, and otherwise rotates among dividends, bonds, gold, commodities, USD, or short‑vol (SVXY) using simple hot/cold gauges and volatility filters.
Tracks a “hot/cold” score (RSI, 0–100) on tech, the S&P 500 and sectors. If many look “too hot” (~80), it buys UVXY—an ETF that jumps when market fear spikes—expecting a pullback. If things look “washed out” (~30), it buys high‑octane stock funds (TQQQ/TECL/SOXL/SPXL). Otherwise it rotates among dividends (SCHD/DGRO), bonds (TMF/TMV), gold (UGL), commodities (DBC), USD (USDU), energy (ERX), or SVXY (benefits when fear fades), guided by VIX and bond trends.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.81 vs 1.41; annualized return ~65% vs ~22%; Calmar ~3.25 shows strong risk-adjusted gains. Drawdown ~20% vs ~19%. It leverages fear spikes and rebounds to outperform the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 21, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, volatility trading, leveraged etfs, momentum/mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 33 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DGRO
iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SCHD
Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks