Simple Path Framework QQQ _ Rev 1.0. May 8, 2023 (Shared)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A rules-based, QQQ‑focused strategy: hold QQQ in uptrends, hide in T‑bills or staples when volatility or trends worsen, occasionally buy 3× QQQ on deep selloffs, and shift to gold/TIPS when cash has been unusually strong.
It uses simple rules to switch among a few ETFs:
- QQQ = Nasdaq‑100 (big tech), BIL = T‑bills (cash‑like), XLP = consumer staples (defensive), IAU = gold, TIP = inflation‑linked bonds, TQQQ = 3× QQQ, VIXM = volatility gauge.
Indicators: moving average = average price; RSI = 0–100 of recent ups vs downs (<30 oversold, >70 hot).
Logic: Own QQQ in uptrends; if fear (VIXM RSI>70) use BIL; if trend weak use XLP; if QQQ very oversold use TQQQ; if cash strong over 1 yr hold 70% IAU + 30% TIP; else QQQ. Path 2 is off.
Out-of-sample, this rules-based QQQ strategy beats the S&P: 28.0% annualized return vs 22.8%, max drawdown 11.8% vs 18.8%, Sharpe ~1.82 vs 1.43, Calmar ~2.37. Lower downside, higher risk-adjusted upside with transparent rules.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07 | 0.85 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 598.33% | 13.74% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.84 | |
| 1,365.02% | 19.47% | 1.08% | 2.05% | 1.17 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$146,502.07Regulatory Fees
$136.74
Total Slippage
$817.24
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 8, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Rules-based trend, tactical qqq, volatility filter, defensive rotation, multi-asset, momentum/oversold signals
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks