Simple Moving Average
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A monthly market-timing strategy that follows the broad U.S. market trend, then holds just one area at a time—either a strong stock segment in good markets or a defensive/cash-like holding in weak markets.
Once a month, the strategy checks whether the U.S. stock market is in a healthy uptrend by comparing SPY’s recent average price with its longer-term average.
If the market looks strong, it buys the strongest recent performer among big growth stocks, big value stocks, tech, or low-volatility stocks.
If the market looks weak, it shifts to the strongest recent performer among utilities, communication services, or very short-term Treasury bills (cash-like safety).
Dynamic trend-following with risk-on/risk-off rotation. It typically runs with lower market beta (~0.85) and delivers positive out-of-sample risk-adjusted return (Sharpe ~0.29), plus built-in defensives when markets weaken—adding diversification vs SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.12 | 0.61 | 0.41 | 0.64 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223.13% | 15.21% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.84 | |
| 419.16% | 22% | -5.57% | -7.53% | 1.19 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$51,915.73Regulatory Fees
$40.57
Total Slippage
$333.38
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 1, 2025
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Us equities, trend following, momentum, sector rotation, tactical allocation, defensive overlay
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
MGK
Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Growth ETF
Stocks
MGV
Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Value ETF
Stocks
SPLV
Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VGT
Vanguard Information Technology ETF
Stocks
XLC
State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks