Simple Moving Average
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A monthly, rules-based ETF rotation. When the S&P 500 trend is up, it holds the recent winner among mega-cap growth, value, tech, or low-vol ETFs. When the trend is down, it rotates to utilities, communication services, or cash-like T‑bills.
Each month it first checks the market trend using SPY: is the short-term average price above the medium-term average? If yes, it picks the single best performer over ~35 days from MGK (mega-cap growth), MGV (mega-cap value), VGT (tech), or SPLV (low-vol stocks).
If not, it picks the best over ~10 days from XLU (utilities), XLC (communication services), or BIL (T‑bills). It puts 100% into that one ETF until next month.
Disciplined, rules-based monthly ETF rotation that shifts from leaders in uptrends to defensives or cash in downturns. Out-of-sample Calmar ~4.30 indicates solid risk-adjusted performance versus the S&P 500 with transparent rules.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.6 | 0.42 | 0.65 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184.14% | 14.63% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.8 | |
| 424.88% | 24.21% | 0.65% | 5.46% | 1.29 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$52,488.45Regulatory Fees
$40.18
Total Slippage
$268.87
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 1, 2025
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, momentum, etf rotation, tactical asset allocation, u.s. equities, defensive switch, sector/style rotation, t-bills
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
MGK
Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF
Stocks
MGV
Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF
Stocks
SPLV
Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VGT
Vanguard Information Technology ETF
Stocks
XLC
State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks