Simple Moving Average
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Monthly, trend-first ETF rotation. If SPY’s short-term average is above its long-term average, own the best recent performer among growth, value, tech, or low‑vol stocks. Otherwise, rotate into utilities, communications, or cash‑like T‑bills.
Once a month, it checks if the U.S. market (SPY, the S&P 500) is trending up by comparing a short-term average price (about 15 days) to a longer one (about 60 days). If the short-term is higher: buy the one recent 35‑day winner from MGK (mega‑cap growth), MGV (mega‑cap value), VGT (technology), or SPLV (low‑volatility stocks). If not: buy the 10‑day winner from XLU (utilities), XLC (communications), or BIL (T‑bills/cash‑like).
A regime-aware ETF rotation that captures upside in up markets and defends in downturns. Out-of-sample: 16.32% annualized return, Sharpe 1.35, Calmar 4.30, near-beta to the market with strong risk-adjusted upside vs. the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.6 | 0.42 | 0.65 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185.93% | 14.79% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.8 | |
| 428.56% | 24.44% | 5.53% | 12.25% | 1.3 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$52,855.98Regulatory Fees
$38.65
Total Slippage
$258.31
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 1, 2025
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend following,momentum,etf rotation,tactical asset allocation,defensive rotation,monthly rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
MGK
Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF
Stocks
MGV
Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF
Stocks
SPLV
Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VGT
Vanguard Information Technology ETF
Stocks
XLC
State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks