Simple Market Strategy / TMV/TMF Selector v2.0
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A fast-moving trading strategy that switches between bullish stock funds, bearish funds, hedges like gold and the dollar, and Treasury trades based on short-term signs of fear, market damage, and rebound potential.
This strategy constantly asks: are markets calm, falling, or panicking?
• If stocks look overheated, it buys UVXY, a fund that tends to jump when fear spikes.
• If markets look weak, it moves into defensive assets like gold, the U.S. dollar, short bonds, or bearish stock funds.
• If markets look healthier, it buys whichever stock fund looks most beaten down, aiming for a rebound.
• In extreme volatility, it switches to a separate playbook using long-term Treasury funds or a mix of oversold stocks/commodities.
Out-of-sample: ~41.7% annualized return vs S&P ~21%; Sharpe ~1.01, Calmar ~0.82. A regime-switching strategy that hedges stress and captures rebounds, offering higher upside across regimes—though drawdowns can be larger in turmoil.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.65 | 1.11 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722.87% | 15.15% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.93 | |
| 4,321,165.72% | 104.34% | -1.91% | -3.66% | 1.73 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$432,126,572.03Regulatory Fees
$1,364,379.25
Total Slippage
$13,138,348.66
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 23, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime switching, leveraged etfs, mean reversion, momentum, volatility hedge, long/short
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks