Simple Market Strategy / TMV/TMF Selector v2.0
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules‑based, tactical switch using a volatility gauge (UVXY) to choose between a Treasury bet (TMF/TMV) and an equity bull/bear engine. Signals rely on RSI and recent drawdown; hedges in dollar/gold; occasional commodity holds. Heavy use of 3×/vol funds—high risk.
RSI=0–100 “heat” of recent moves (>70 hot/<30 cold). Max drawdown=worst recent drop.
- If UVXY (volatility ETF) is hot, pick TMF or TMV (3× long/short long‑term Treasuries) by recent damage; if both calm, own the 2 weakest (5‑day RSI) from SHY (short Treasuries), TQQQ/SPXL (3× stock bulls), and DBC/DBA (commodities).
- Else stocks: if SPY/QQQ very hot, buy UVXY; if SPY fell >6% in 10d, use SQQQ/SPXU (3× stock bears) or hedge with UUP (US dollar)+GLD (gold); otherwise buy the dip in TQQQ/SPXL/SHY.
Out-of-sample edge: ~67% annualized return vs ~22% for SPY, Sharpe ~1.39, Calmar ~1.32. Regime-switching with hedges targets bigger upside with disciplined risk; higher leverage means larger drawdowns in stress vs the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | 1.08 | 0.14 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608.48% | 14.63% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
| 4,745,935.72% | 111.92% | -2.97% | -3.89% | 1.8 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$474,603,572.31Regulatory Fees
$1,554,454.14
Total Slippage
$11,157,487.80
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 23, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical multi-asset, leveraged etfs, volatility regime filter, rsi/momentum, drawdown-based rotation, bonds, commodities, hedged, short-term
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks