[SIMPLE] KMLM switcher (single pops)| BT 4/13/22
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A signal‑driven “pop catcher.” It sells into euphoria via UVXY, buys oversold 3× equity dips, else switches between aggressive tech/fear‑fade bets and a defensive sleeve led by KMLM (managed futures). High risk, short‑term tools used sparingly.
Uses a 0–100 “speedometer” (RSI) of recent moves. If many stock groups look “too hot” (≈80+), it buys UVXY—a fund that jumps when fear spikes. If they look “too cold” (≈30 or less), it buys 3× tech/semis/S&P bounce plays (TECL, SOXL, SPXL). Otherwise it compares tech vs KMLM (a diversified managed‑futures trend ETF): if tech is stronger, buy TECL or SVIX (benefits when fear falls); if not, hold a calmer mix from KMLM/FTLS/UUP/Treasuries.
Out-of-sample edge: ~55% annualized return vs SPY’s ~21%, with a Calmar ~2.01 for strong risk‑adjusted upside. Yes, drawdowns can be larger, but volatility‑timing and multi‑asset rotation target bigger rebounds and diversification in regime shifts.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.38 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62.88% | 13.44% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.81 | |
| 33,427.62% | 349.49% | 3.83% | 12.71% | 2.73 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,352,761.63Regulatory Fees
$10,125.79
Total Slippage
$66,515.64
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 9, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, volatility-timing, mean-reversion, momentum, leveraged etfs, managed futures, multi-asset rotation, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 23 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks