Simple Bitcoin Bros
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, it prefers bitcoin (via GBTC) when its trend is up but not overheated; otherwise it rides tech using TQQQ when conditions are favorable. If things look too hot or too risky, it parks in T‑bills (BIL). Uses simple momentum and stress checks.
It only holds one of three: GBTC (bitcoin proxy), TQQQ (3× Nasdaq), or BIL (T‑bills). Daily: 1) If bitcoin is extremely hot (RSI>84), sit in BIL. 2) Else if bitcoin’s short‑term trend is up (9‑day avg > 20‑day), hold GBTC. 3) Otherwise use TQQQ when tech is trending/oversold; use BIL when markets are overheated, falling fast, or bond gauges flag stress. RSI≈speed of recent moves (0–100); a moving average is an average price; drawdown is a drop from a recent high.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~56% annualized return vs SPY's ~22%, with a Calmar ~1.42 for strong risk-adjusted growth. A momentum mix of BTC, leveraged tech, and cash hedges aims to capture trends while managing risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.96 | 1.2 | 0.11 | 0.33 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 288.24% | 13.46% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.8 | |
| 1,883,805.47% | 150.1% | 5.48% | -1.81% | 1.72 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$188,390,547.09Regulatory Fees
$374,785.99
Total Slippage
$2,680,179.58
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 11, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto, momentum, trend-following, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks