Simple Bitcoin Bros
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily rule-based strategy that shifts 100% of capital between cash, Bitcoin exposure, leveraged tech, stocks, and bonds, using momentum and trend signals to ride growth when conditions look favorable and retreat to safety when they don’t.
- Every day, the strategy reassesses where to put all money (100% capital) among a small set of assets: cash proxies (BIL), Bitcoin exposure (GBTC), leveraged tech (TQQQ), broad stocks (SPY/QQQ), and bonds (BND/IEF/TLT/TMF).
- It uses a cascade of simple checks (mostly momentum and trend tests) to decide which bucket to favor.
- If Bitcoin exposure or tech momentum looks strong and risk indicators aren’t screaming danger, it tilts toward risk-on assets (GBTC or TQQQ).
- If momentum looks weak, price trends are negative, or volatility is high, it shifts into safer places (BIL or bond funds).
- There are garden-variety regime labels (Normal market, Huge volatility) that color parts of the decision path and may push the cash or bond rails more aggressively.
- A cross-asset check (Bond > Stock) acts as a secondary screen: if bonds look stronger than stocks, the system leans more toward bonds; otherwise it favors stocks/crypto.
- The architecture is intentionally layered and somewhat opaque; it’s designed to catch quick moves in crypto and tech while providing built-in risk control via cash and bonds.
Adaptive 100% allocation across cash, crypto, tech, stocks & bonds. Out-of-sample: ~56% annualized return vs SPY ~22%, Sharpe ~1.10, Calmar ~1.42. Higher drawdowns in stress (~40%), but stronger risk-adjusted growth.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.95 | 1.2 | 0.11 | 0.33 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 280.12% | 13.19% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.78 | |
| 1,795,358.59% | 148.23% | -0.93% | -1.7% | 1.71 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$179,545,859.24Regulatory Fees
$394,634.08
Total Slippage
$2,822,716.36
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 11, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Asset allocation, crypto exposure, momentum-based, risk management, levered etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks