Simple Bitcoin Bros
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, it switches all-in among Bitcoin (GBTC), 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ), or T‑Bills (BIL) using “heat,” trend, and stress checks. Ride strong uptrends, step aside when too hot or shaky, and occasionally buy dips. Very high risk when in GBTC/TQQQ.
Each day it picks one fund: GBTC (Bitcoin), TQQQ (3x Nasdaq-100), or BIL (T‑Bills). It uses simple “heat” (a 0–100 too-hot/too-cold meter), trend vs recent average, recent drops, and bond‑market stress as warning lights.
• If Bitcoin looks overheated, park in BIL; if Bitcoin is in an uptrend, hold GBTC.
• Otherwise, consider Nasdaq: ride TQQQ when trend is healthy; move to BIL when things look too hot or stressed. After sharp selloffs, it may buy TQQQ for a bounce unless a big up day just happened.
Bonds are signals only; they’re not held.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~56% annualized return with Calmar ~1.42, offering far higher upside than the S&P (~21.6%) while using heat/trend/stress rules for risk control. Note: drawdowns can approach ~40% in stressed markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.95 | 1.2 | 0.11 | 0.33 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 280.12% | 13.19% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.78 | |
| 1,795,358.59% | 148.23% | -0.93% | -1.7% | 1.71 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$179,545,859.24Regulatory Fees
$394,634.08
Total Slippage
$2,822,716.36
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 11, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto rotation, tech momentum, risk-on/off, trend-following, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, daily tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks