Simple Beta Baller Signal | IEF>IBTK (Other IBT*, SPTI ,SCHQ are related) & SHY>SBND (IBTF, ITBG, ITBE are related)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily, RSI‑based switch that flips between safety (short‑term Treasuries), 3× long tech/semis, or 3× inverse tech. It reads “heat” in T‑bills vs long Treasuries and stocks to time risk‑on/risk‑off. Very aggressive and volatile.
It’s a daily market‑timer using RSI (a 0–100 “heat” gauge: high=hot, low=cold) on a few anchors: cash‑like T‑bills (BIL) vs longer Treasuries (IBTK), the S&P 500 (SPY), and a bond proxy (SBND) vs a 3× high‑beta stock gauge (HIBL). If bonds look friendly and SPY isn’t overheated, it goes all‑in a 3× semiconductor fund (SOXL); if overheated, it hides in short Treasuries (SHY). If bonds look stressed, it either shorts tech (SOXS/SQQQ) or, if risk looks better, goes 3× long tech (SOXL/TECL).
Out-of-sample annualized return ~67% vs SPY ~23%, with Sharpe ~1.06 and Calmar ~0.73—strong risk-adjusted upside. This strategy is highly leveraged, so expect large drawdowns in stressed markets but outsized gains when regimes favor tech/semis.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | 0.27 | 0 | 0.05 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67.83% | 12.51% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.76 | |
| 44,873.02% | 301.72% | -8.97% | -2.09% | 1.96 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,497,302.29Regulatory Fees
$35,348.09
Total Slippage
$243,916.25
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 4, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Rsi timing,cross-asset regime filter,leveraged etfs,tech/semis focus,long/short,daily rebalance,tactical risk-on/off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
IBTK
iShares iBonds Dec 2030 Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SBND
Columbia Short Duration Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks