Simple Beta Baller Signal | IEF>IBTK (Other IBT*, SPTI ,SCHQ are related) & SHY>SBND (IBTF, ITBG, ITBE are related)
Today’s Change (Apr 19, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, bond‑guided switch that uses a simple 0–100 heat score to flip between aggressive 3x semiconductor/tech bets (SOXL/TECL), defensive 3x bears (SOXS/SQQQ), or short Treasuries (SHY) when stocks run too hot.
Daily it reads a simple 0–100 “heat” score (RSI). It compares safe bonds (T‑bills/short Treasuries) with longer Treasuries and a high‑beta stock fund to decide risk‑on or risk‑off.
If stocks aren’t overheated, it buys 3x semiconductor/tech (SOXL/TECL). If they’re too hot, it parks in short Treasuries (SHY). In risk‑off it can flip to 3x bears (SOXS/SQQQ), picking the one that fell more recently.
Note: 3x funds are very risky.
High upside with risk discipline: out-of-sample annualized return ~67% vs S&P ~23%, powered by bond-momentum guardrails and daily RSI-driven rotations between 3x semis/tech and bear/short Treasuries, offering stronger risk-adjusted upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.93 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.04 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74.43% | 13.11% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.79 | |
| 78,223.9% | 337.35% | 49.29% | 44.87% | 2.05 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$7,832,390.43Regulatory Fees
$36,767.44
Total Slippage
$253,634.84
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 4, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,momentum/rsi,leveraged etfs,semiconductors,technology,treasuries,daily rebalancing,risk-on/off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IBTK
iShares iBonds Dec 2030 Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SBND
Columbia Short Duration Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks