Simple Beta Baller Signal | IEF>IBTK (Other IBT*, SPTI ,SCHQ are related) & SHY>SBND (IBTF, ITBG, ITBE are related)
Today’s Change (Mar 31, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, bond‑guided switch that uses a simple 0–100 heat score to flip between aggressive 3x semiconductor/tech bets (SOXL/TECL), defensive 3x bears (SOXS/SQQQ), or short Treasuries (SHY) when stocks run too hot.
Daily it reads a simple 0–100 “heat” score (RSI). It compares safe bonds (T‑bills/short Treasuries) with longer Treasuries and a high‑beta stock fund to decide risk‑on or risk‑off.
If stocks aren’t overheated, it buys 3x semiconductor/tech (SOXL/TECL). If they’re too hot, it parks in short Treasuries (SHY). In risk‑off it can flip to 3x bears (SOXS/SQQQ), picking the one that fell more recently.
Note: 3x funds are very risky.
Out-of-sample: ~67% annualized return vs SPY ~23%, Sharpe ~1.06. Bond-momentum driven daily switches between leveraged tech/semis and hedges aim for much higher upside than the S&P 500, with risk controls; levered ETFs bring volatility.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.93 | 0.22 | 0 | 0.04 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.23% | 10.35% | -7.68% | -7.76% | 0.65 | |
| 67,547.69% | 330.5% | 35.7% | 28.22% | 2.03 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,764,769.24Regulatory Fees
$36,261.51
Total Slippage
$250,115.03
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 4, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,momentum/rsi,leveraged etfs,semiconductors,technology,treasuries,daily rebalancing,risk-on/off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IBTK
iShares iBonds Dec 2030 Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SBND
Columbia Short Duration Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks