Simple Beta Baller Signal | IEF>IBTK (Other IBT*, SPTI ,SCHQ are related) & SHY>SBND (IBTF, ITBG, ITBE are related)
Today’s Change (Jul 1, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, bond‑guided switch that uses a simple 0–100 heat score to flip between aggressive 3x semiconductor/tech bets (SOXL/TECL), defensive 3x bears (SOXS/SQQQ), or short Treasuries (SHY) when stocks run too hot.
Daily it reads a simple 0–100 “heat” score (RSI). It compares safe bonds (T‑bills/short Treasuries) with longer Treasuries and a high‑beta stock fund to decide risk‑on or risk‑off.
If stocks aren’t overheated, it buys 3x semiconductor/tech (SOXL/TECL). If they’re too hot, it parks in short Treasuries (SHY). In risk‑off it can flip to 3x bears (SOXS/SQQQ), picking the one that fell more recently.
Note: 3x funds are very risky.
Out-of-sample edge: ~43% annualized return vs SPY’s ~22%, driven by bond-momentum risk-on/off switching between leveraged tech bets and short Treasuries. Higher upside with adaptive risk control—beware potential large drawdowns in volatile markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.02 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83.9% | 13.79% | -1.3% | 18.47% | 0.83 | |
| 46,627.15% | 268.36% | 53.69% | -31.09% | 1.84 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,672,714.91Regulatory Fees
$28,762.57
Total Slippage
$262,480.73
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 4, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,momentum/rsi,leveraged etfs,semiconductors,technology,treasuries,daily rebalancing,risk-on/off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IBTK
iShares iBonds Dec 2030 Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SBND
Columbia Short Duration Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks