Simple Beta Baller Signal | IEF>IBTK (Other IBT*, SPTI ,SCHQ are related) & SHY>SBND (IBTF, ITBG, ITBE are related)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced strategy that toggles between bond-based safety and leveraged tech/semiconductor bets, guided by RSI momentum signals on SPY and related bond ETFs, with a bottom-ranked RSI selector among leveraged bets for entry.
In layman's terms: The system watches momentum using RSI, a simple gauge of whether recent price moves are strong or weak. If the broad market looks overextended (RSI high) and bond-related funds look comparatively solid, it moves into safer bond funds (like SHY). If conditions favor taking on risk, it searches for the most oversold option among big, leveraged bets on semiconductors or tech (such as SOXL and TECL) and buys one of them. It also has reverse/hedge vehicles (SOXS, SQQQ) as possible shorts or hedges. The signals compare RSI values of SPY to thresholds (e.g., above 75) and compare bond ETF RSI to related ETFs (IBTK, ITBG, ITBE) to decide between risk-off and risk-on. Every day, the system rebalances to stay aligned with the latest signals, which can mean frequent trading and high exposure to leverage. The goal is to grab big upside when tech/semis look favorable while keeping some protection in bonds when risk rises.
RSI-timed, levered tech/semis with bond hedges deliver out-of-sample annualized returns ~67% vs SPY ~23%. Strong upside potential and risk-adjusted efficiency, but be aware of higher volatility and potential drawdowns in stressed markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.88 | 0.26 | 0 | 0.05 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63.89% | 11.81% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.72 | |
| 53,452.44% | 313.74% | 6.75% | 7.33% | 1.99 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,355,243.98Regulatory Fees
$36,063.22
Total Slippage
$248,761.89
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 4, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, rsi-based signals, bond vs equity tilt, leveraged etfs, sector bets
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IBTK
iShares iBonds Dec 2030 Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SBND
Columbia Short Duration Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks