Simple Beta Baller Signal | IEF>IBTK (Other IBT*, SPTI ,SCHQ are related) & SHY>SBND (IBTF, ITBG, ITBE are related)
Today’s Change (Aug 23, 2026)
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About
A daily, bond‑guided switch that uses a simple 0–100 heat score to flip between aggressive 3x semiconductor/tech bets (SOXL/TECL), defensive 3x bears (SOXS/SQQQ), or short Treasuries (SHY) when stocks run too hot.
Daily it reads a simple 0–100 “heat” score (RSI). It compares safe bonds (T‑bills/short Treasuries) with longer Treasuries and a high‑beta stock fund to decide risk‑on or risk‑off.
If stocks aren’t overheated, it buys 3x semiconductor/tech (SOXL/TECL). If they’re too hot, it parks in short Treasuries (SHY). In risk‑off it can flip to 3x bears (SOXS/SQQQ), picking the one that fell more recently.
Note: 3x funds are very risky.
Dynamic, bond-guided risk-on/off strategy that toggles 3x tech/semis and bears using a daily heat-score. Out-of-sample annualized return: 28.14% vs SPY’s 22.30%, with positive alpha. Higher volatility and drawdowns—suited for aggressive investors chasing bigger upside.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 4, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,momentum/rsi,leveraged etfs,semiconductors,technology,treasuries,daily rebalancing,risk-on/off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IBTK
iShares iBonds Dec 2030 Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SBND
Columbia Short Duration Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks