Simple 20d BND vs 60d SH (Public)
Today’s Change (Sep 21, 2026)
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About
A rules-based switch that rotates among cash, SPY, 3x tech/S&P, inverse QQQ, and VIX. It uses simple “heat” gauges (RSI), trendlines, and a bond‑vs‑bear check to go risk‑on with TQQQ when conditions are good, or sit in T‑Bills when not.
RSI = a 0–100 heat gauge of recent price moves; high=hot, low=cold. A moving average is the average price over X days (a trendline).
Tickers: SPY=S&P 500, QQQ=Nasdaq‑100, TQQQ=3x QQQ, UPRO=3x S&P, TECL=3x Tech, PSQ=−1x QQQ, SH=−1x S&P, VIXY=VIX/fear, BND=US bonds, BIL=T‑Bills (cash).
Rules: too hot→VIXY; too cold→TECL/UPRO; medium‑term strong→SPY; else use bond‑vs‑bear + trend checks: if risk‑on→TQQQ, else cash (BIL), with brief PSQ flips.
Offers strong upside with tactical rotation into leveraged ETFs and hedges. Out-of-sample annualized return: 53.46% vs S&P 17.47%; Calmar ~1.07; Sharpe ~1.03. Higher volatility and potential drawdowns up to ~50% in bad regimes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.66 | 1.82 | 0.4 | 0.64 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 690.3% | 14.1% | -0.5% | 2.26% | 0.86 | |
| 30,823,562.69% | 123.96% | -5.23% | -12.67% | 1.9 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,082,366,269.49Regulatory Fees
$4,191,892.50
Total Slippage
$40,448,716.05
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend-following, momentum, mean-reversion, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks