simp (78/33) s10/18/11
Today’s Change (Oct 2, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical “risk-on/off” switch: buy 3x semis after peak fear, use UVXY when markets look overheated, ride uptrends with 2x S&P 500, and hide in gold/bonds/cash during downtrends.
It rotates among four choices based on simple signals:
- SOXL (3x semiconductor stocks), UVXY (fear gauge), SSO (2x S&P 500), or a defensive mix: GLD (gold), TLT (long Treasuries), BIL (T‑bills).
- RSI = a heat meter of recent price speed; very high = overheated.
- If UVXY itself is extremely hot (10‑day RSI>88), bet on a snap-back with SOXL.
- Else, if SPY/QQQ/XLP look overheated (very high RSI), hold UVXY for a pullback.
- Else, if the S&P 500 is in an uptrend (price above 200‑day average), hold SSO.
- Otherwise, hold GLD/TLT/BIL equally. Trades only when signals change.
Regime-driven diversification across levered equities, volatility hedges, and defensives. Out-of-sample results show much lower returns (~1.6% vs 17%), larger drawdowns (~18% vs ~9%), and weaker risk-adjusted performance than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.49 | 0.86 | 0.14 | 0.37 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 709.4% | 15.04% | 0.54% | 2.7% | 0.93 | |
| 373,228.45% | 73.54% | 0.57% | 3.71% | 1.6 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$37,332,845.42Regulatory Fees
$34,510.55
Total Slippage
$321,635.06
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 1, 2026
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, trend-following, mean-reversion, volatility hedge, leveraged etfs, multi-asset defense
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks