Simons Simple Beta Baller Signal V2 | IEF>IBTK (Other IBT*, SPTI ,SCHQ are related) & SHY>SBND (IBTF, ITBG, ITBE are related)
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, high‑risk rotation that flips among 3x Tech/Semis bulls (TQQQ, SOXL, FNGU), hedges (SQQQ, SOXS) or Treasuries (SHY, TLT/TMF) using a short‑term “hot/cold” meter and bond signals. Big Tech/Semiconductor tilt; very volatile.
RSI here is a short‑term “hot/cold” meter.
1) If T‑bills (BIL) look cooler than 2030 Treasuries (IBTK) = risk‑on: if the S&P 500 looks very hot, park in SHY; otherwise buy FNGU (3x big tech).
2) Else (stress): bond cross‑check picks either a hedge (SOXS or SQQQ/TLT) or a bounce (TQQQ or SOXL), choosing the most beaten‑down by that meter. Daily rebalance.
High-risk tech/semis rotation. Out-of-sample results are negative: ~-42% annualized return and ~69.6% max drawdown vs SPY’s +16% and ~18% drawdown. Not a core holding—use as a speculative satellite with strict risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.8% | 15.18% | 9.27% | 4.88% | 0.84 | |
| -9.29% | -8.07% | 4.41% | 47.58% | 0.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$9,071.09Regulatory Fees
$16.90
Total Slippage
$105.61
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 19, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, leveraged etfs, semiconductors, big tech, nasdaq-100, risk-on/risk-off, momentum and mean reversion, us treasuries, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
FNGU
MicroSectors FANG+ 3x Leveraged ETNs due February 17, 2045
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IBTK
iShares iBonds Dec 2030 Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks