Simons NOVA | High Win Rate | Here comes the 3x Hotstepper | v1
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, RSI‑based rotation among fast‑moving 3x funds: buy strong tech/semis/biotech/S&P 500, hedge with volatility (UVXY) or bearish funds when markets look overheated, and fall back to long bonds (TMF) or cash (BIL). High risk.
Daily, it gauges “hot/cold” with RSI (recent buying vs selling: high=overheated, low=washed‑out).
- If global/US stocks look very hot (IOO/TQQQ/SPY) or volatility is perking up, it hedges with UVXY or uses bearish funds.
- If certain 3x funds look washed‑out (LABU/TECL/SOXL), it buys the dip.
- Else it buys the strongest 3x winner over 10 days (TECL/FNGU/SOXL/UPRO).
- Fallback: long bonds (TMF) or cash (BIL).
Out-of-sample edge: ~32% annualized return vs ~26% S&P, with 1.15 Calmar and hedged 3x ETFs. Higher upside and diversification, but bigger drawdowns and lower risk-adjusted Sharpe.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.01 | 2 | 0.39 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.03% | 21.22% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 1.1 | |
| 28.56% | 28.82% | 0.27% | 0.87% | 0.67 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,856.21Regulatory Fees
$5.94
Total Slippage
$38.52
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Rsi timing, leveraged 3x etfs, volatility hedge, momentum + mean‑reversion, daily rotation, tactical trading
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
FNGD
MicroSectors FANG+ Index -3X Inverse Leveraged ETNs due January 8, 2038
Stocks
FNGU
MicroSectors FANG+ 3x Leveraged ETNs due February 17, 2045
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x Shares
Stocks