Simons NOVA | High Win Rate | Here comes the 3x Hotstepper | v1
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, high‑risk switcher among leveraged ETFs. It fades overheated markets into volatility or bearish tech, buys deep dips in 3× tech/semis/biotech, sometimes rides the strongest 3× trend, and falls back to 3× bonds or cash.
Every day it checks RSI (a 0–100 meter of recent buying vs. selling: high=overheated, low=washed‑out). If global/US stocks (IOO, SPY, TQQQ) look overheated, it often flips to UVXY (volatility) or to bearish tech. If certain 3× sectors look washed‑out (SOXL, TECL, LABU), it buys them for a bounce. If none, it may pick the strongest 3× (TECL/FNGU/SOXL/UPRO) by 10‑day return, else 3× bonds (TMF) or cash (BIL).
Out-of-sample edge: ~32% annualized return vs ~26% for the S&P, with Calmar ~1.15—strong risk-adjusted upside. Uses volatility hedges and 3x sector rotations; note drawdowns can exceed SPY in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04 | 1.97 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5% | 17.96% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.97 | |
| 28.72% | 27.84% | 0.27% | 0.86% | 0.66 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,871.68Regulatory Fees
$5.94
Total Slippage
$38.52
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, momentum, mean-reversion, volatility hedging, sector rotation, daily tactical, high risk
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
FNGD
MicroSectors FANG+ Index -3X Inverse Leveraged ETNs due January 8, 2038
Stocks
FNGU
MicroSectors FANG+ 3x Leveraged ETNs due February 17, 2045
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x ETF
Stocks